Nfl Parlay Odds
- Parlay Bets in NFL and how to win them. Tutorial with rules, methodologies, win rates and odds, based on 5,000 games played from 1994 to 2012 seasons.
- Jan 25, 2021 Before you make any NFL picks and parlays for Super Bowl LV, you NEED to see what it has to say. It's on a strong 24-14 roll on top-rated NFL picks this season, returning well over $800. The model enters the 2021 Super Bowl on an incredible 120-78 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season.
This is often easier done when using decimal odds, for example, a three-team parlay with each selection at odds of 3.0 would be calculated by 3.0 x 3.0 x 3.0 for 27.0 or 27-1 parlay odds. NFL parlay picks. We have free NFL parlay picks for every week of the season from the most popular NFL betting markets – against the spread, money line.
© Provided by CBS SportsSep 29, 2019; Orchard Park, NY, USA; Buffalo Bills quarterback Josh Allen (17) is sacked by New England Patriots middle linebacker Kyle Van Noy (53) during the second quarter at New Era Field.
Tom Brady left the Patriots in an effort to find a new opportunity to add to his legacy and in his first season with the Buccaneers, he'll play in his 10th Super Bowl. Super Bowl 55 kicks off at 6:30 p.m. ET on Sunday as the Chiefs travel to Raymond James Stadium, where they'll have to overcome a home-field advantage for Tampa Bay. Kansas City already beat the Buccaneers in their own building once this season, winning 27-24 back in Week 12.
Kansas City is the three-point favorite with the over-under at 56 in the latest 2021 Super Bowl odds from William Hill Sportsbook. Can Brady exact revenge on his way to a seventh championship? And which side of the total should you back in your Super Bowl 55 parlays? Before you make your Chiefs vs. Buccaneers predictions, be sure to check out the 2021 Super Bowl parlay picks from the proven computer model at SportsLine.
The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up almost $7,900 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception five-plus years ago. It is a sizzling 24-14 on top-rated NFL picks this season, returning well over $800. The model also enters the 2021 Super Bowl on an incredible 120-78 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season.
Additionally, the model also ranked in the Top 10 on NFLPickWatch in three of the past four years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 95 percent of CBS Sports office pool players three times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.
Now, it has examined the latest 2021 Super Bowl NFL odds and NFL betting lines from William Hill, simulated every snap, and its predictions are in. If you parlay its picks, you could be looking at payout of nearly 3-1. You can only see them here.
Top NFL predictions for Super Bowl LV
One of the top Super Bowl LV NFL picks the model recommends: Buccaneers vs. Chiefs goes over the total of 56. The line originally opened at 57 but has dropped by a full point to create value on the over. And while the two sides combined for just 51 points in their first meeting, there were a lot of points left on the table in that contest.
The Chiefs and Buccaneers combined for 960 yards of total offense in Week 12, with Patrick Mahomes throwing for 462 yards and three scores while Tom Brady had 345 yards and three scores of his own. However, the Chiefs only scored one touchdown on its three trips inside the red zone while the Buccaneers went just 3-for-9 on third down in the game.
Kansas City ranked 14th in the NFL this season with touchdowns on 61.0 percent of the time after moving inside the 20-yard line. Meanwhile, the Buccaneers ranked 11th in the NFL with a third-down conversion rate of 43.5 percent. Expect both teams to be a little sharper in those areas to help take the total over on Sunday.
How to make Super Bowl LV NFL picks, parlays
The model has also made the call on which team covers, saying one side of the spread has all the value. You can only get every pick for Super Bowl LV here.
What are the top NFL picks for Super Bowl LV? And which side of the spread has all the value? Visit SportsLine now to see the NFL best bets for Super Bowl LV, all from the model that is up nearly $7,900 on its top-rated NFL picks, and find out.
For this week’s parlay, one play may seem odd if you are afflicted with recency bias. I am talking about the absurdly high total in the Jacksonville-Tennessee game. The “over” looks alluring given last week’s scores. But I will explain why you need to take the “under” at the best sports betting sites.
For my other pick, the Steelers will showcase strong match-up advantages against an incomprehensibly favored Buffalo squad.
Nfl Parlay Betting Odds
Tennessee Titans vs. Jacksonville Jaguars
Sunday, December 13, 2020 – 01:00 PM EST at TIAA Bank Field
History & Trend
The over/under for this game on the NFL Odds board is absurdly high. This total is largely a product of the 41-35 game that Tennessee participated in last week. This game is fresh in bettors’ minds. So many will succumb to temptation and take the “over.” But history is one thing that suggests we should do otherwise. In (only) two other Jacksonville games has the over/under been 53 or higher. The “under” is 2-0 so far in those games.
Titan Ground Game
When a total is as high as it is — currently 53 at most top sportsbooks — the “over” can hit when either team produces quick scores. Quick scores are crucial for an “over” because they produce points and because they leave plenty of time left for more points to be scored. Tennessee, though, owns the fourth-highest run play percentage. Now, people may be misled into thinking this is a good thing for the Titan point total. Derrick Henry, after all, has been famous for his previous performances against the Jaguar defense.
In assessing Henry, we need to stay objective. Yes, he once ran for 238 yards against the Jaguars. But in that period, the Jaguars had checked out mentally. They had finally won a game the week before and so entered Nashville with blatant indifference. Right now, though, the Jaguars are competing hard. They are taking favored teams like Minnesota and even Green Bay down to the wire.
Even with that one monumental performance, Henry’s favorite opponent to feast upon is not Jacksonville. This year’s Jaguar defense ranks middle-of-the-road in run defense. Henry will prolong drives, but he won’t gash the Jaguar defense as he once did previously. With a strong dose of Henry, the clock will be rolling.
Mike Glennon
Public perception of Tennessee’s defense is super low after it conceded 41 points to Baker Mayfield-led Cleveland. While Tennessee’s bad defense elevates the current over/under, Mike Glennon’s style will help keep this game under.
Glennon has always been known as a king of check-down passes. Right now, he’s averaging just 6.7 YPA. Again, with a high total we want quick scores. But Glennon will not provide us with these. Instead, he prefers to grind out possessions by targeting especially tight ends and running backs. In his last game, tight end Tyler Eifert and running back James Robinson caught the most passes for Jacksonville.
Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Buffalo Bills
Sunday, December 13, 2020 - 08:20 PM EST at Bills Stadium
Josh Allen
For Sunday’s matchup, I dislike Buffalo quarterback Josh Allen for two reasons. One, he does not show up in big games, against strong opponents. So two of his very worst games in terms of passer rating came against Chief and Titan squads that have great win-loss records. At 11-1, Pittsburgh, too, is a strong opponent and this is a big game.
Perhaps more importantly is, secondly, the fact that the Steelers excel against mobile quarterbacks. The Steelers have held Baltimore’s Lamar Jackson to what was, for him, a well below-average rushing output. Likewise, they limited Giant quarterback Daniel Jones to 22 rushing yards and a YPC number well below his season average.
Overall, Pittsburgh owns one of the NFL’s top pass defenses as measured by opposing pass yards per game. A number of Steeler defensive backs contribute to the team’s pass defense ranking by allowing a low completion rate or low passer rating when targeted. The variety of strong personnel available to Pittsburgh’s pass defense is important because Buffalo wants to try to spread out opponents by lining up multiple wide receivers.
Nfl Parlay Odds Sportsbook
Pittsburgh Offense vs. Buffalo Defense
Buffalo has struggled with its pass defense. It currently ranks 20th in the category, as measured by opposing pass yards per game. Injuries have helped prevent the Buffalo back seven from gelling. There is also a tremendous drop-off in ability after the team’s top cornerback. This drop-off is measured by an increase by well over 20 in passer rating when targeted.
Pittsburgh matches up well with the Bills since it owns one of the nation’s highest pass play percentages and plenty of variety at wide receiver with a quarterback able to exploit that variety. This variety is evident in the fact that three different Steeler wide receivers have accrued 600 receiving yards. Quarterback Ben Roethlisberger is enjoying his highest passer rating since 2014 because he has so many viable targets. With your NFL picks, expect the Steelers to keep passing and to keep passing well against Buffalo’s defense.
Best Parlay Bet at +271 Odds:
Nfl Parlay Picks Odds Shark
- Jaguars/Titans Under 53 (-108) with Heritage Sports (visit our Heritage Sports review)